Monsoon Prediction 2024: How will the monsoon of 2024 be in Gujarat?

Monsoon Prediction 2024: India is now in full swing of summer season and the temperature has reached 40 degrees. Then, after this summer conditions, a forecast has been made recently by the Meteorological Department giving information about the upcoming monsoon season. Which is Monsoon Predication. Then the Indian Meteorological Department has predicted how the monsoon will be this year and how much rain will fall.

Monsoon Prediction

The Indian Meteorological Department has announced this year’s monsoon forecast in the country. The Meteorological Department said that the monsoon rains this year may be more than average. The season’s total rainfall is forecast to be 106 percent with an average of 87 cm. The Meteorological Department has also given the exact reasons for this.

Monsoon forecast
The IMD has said that La Nina conditions are likely to remain active from August to September this year. This process is considered responsible for good monsoons in India. The chief of IMD released a statement while forecasting the monsoon and said that if we look at the statistics from 1951 to 2023, India has received more than normal rainfall 9 times. When El Nino is followed by La Nina.

What the Meteorological Department said

  • 2024 West – South Monsoon Seasonal (June – September) Above normal rainfall is likely across the country. Seasonal rainfall across the country can be 106% with a model error of -+5%. The long-term average of seasonal rainfall across the country for the period 1971 to 2020 is 87 cm.
  • A moderate El Niño condition currently prevails over the equatorial Pacific. Recently the MMCFS as well as other climate models show the fire. The Al Niña condition may weaken further in the early part of the monsoon season followed by the development of a La Nina condition in the second part of the monsoon season.
  • At present, a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) condition prevails in the Indian Ocean. And recent climate model predictions indicate that a positive Indian Ocean dipole condition is likely to prevail during the south-west monsoon season.
  • Northern Hemisphere snow cover was below normal during the past three months. In the Northern Hemisphere as well as in Eurasia, winter and spring snowfalls are generally inversely related to the subsequent Indian summer monsoon rainfall.
Info In GujaratiView

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